A simple method works best because it is more robust in the face of brutal market conditions and has fewer elements to break than a complicated one. Furthermore, it will be easier to understand and have confidence in.
If you think that you need to be clever or put a lot of effort into your trading think again - you get rewarded for being right with your trading signal and market timing, nothing else. Sure in many jobs you get paid for effort but in forex trading it's all about being right.
So do you know what your trading edge is? If you don't and you can't define it, then its back to learning forex and your forex education until you do.
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